Here is the October surprise.... within the next week a drone will take out a group of terrorists in Libya or one of it’s neighboring countries. The administration will then claim that they have killed those responsible for the Benghazi embassy attack. (I doubt that these will be the actual terrorists that attacked the embassy, but hey they are terrorists... they deserved to be killed anyway... right?) Any civilian casualties will be played down by the administration and the press.
I remember events with Clinton in the Lewinsky scandal this way. Clinton delivered a nasty speech against Ken Starr which was very poorly received even by the liberal press. He then flew back to his vaca on Martha’s Vineyard and within hours reemerged to announce he fired cruise missiles (into Libya? Yemen?) against Al Queda camps. This tactic completely worked (not that the cruise missiles worked).
Do I have that about right?
With Obama my first guess is he is ruthless and will do it. Second guess is he knows his base won’t like an attack, knows it’s too late and will be seen as political, maybe even knows he is losing and doesn’t want to go out that way.
I think Obama believes he is going to lose.