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It’s hard to say. The real early voting starts Monday with a two-week window for in person absentee balloting, so the people who already voted are real absentee voters.

During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters.

Even though I’m in the thick of it, I’m not sure where the race is. My instinct is that Romney will win, but it’s hard to predict what will happen in the northern part of the state. It doesn’t feel like there is much passion on the democratic side, and that may drive the turnout down.

Personally, I find it bizarre that Wisconsin will have re-elected Walker, then send Tammy Baldwin and Barack Obama back to Washington. That’s why I think Romney will squeak out a win, the democrats aren’t out in force like they were during the recall and the energy isn’t there.

It’s too bad Tommy Thompson has run such a lackluster campaign. Tammy Baldwin is one of the most clueless human beings I have ever talked to. She just does not get how the world actually works.

"During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters."

I refer to my May 30 post:

"There is a gynormous sub-text to this Dem primary recall that's going unreported.
Union stooge Kathleen Falk was hilariously submarined by the Milwaukee Mafia. Barrett had already lost to Walker less than two years ago! As Deer Stand points out, Mayor Tom won't even run on the restoration of public union collective bargaining. From a Dem strategery standpoint, there's no way he should have even been in the primary race.
But Barrett disdeigns getting down & dirty (sure there are negative ads -- I'm talking about street fighting) because he fantasizes about running for Feingold's old Senate seat in 2016. So he's giving the unions the finger in an election they created.
In 2011, the number of workers belonging to a union in Wisconsin was 339000. Union yobs have loooong memories, and are well known to vote/not vote to 'punish' candidates and even their own party.
(Keeping rough ratios intact...) When you consider Bush only lost WI in 2004 by 11,384, and Bobo's cadre has already said they're playing off the Kerry map for 2012, if any minute percentage of those union yobs sit on their hands in November, Bobo loses WI -- a must-win state for The One-Term™."