Posted on 10/20/2012 6:37:54 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“This is the first full post POTUS Debate TWO sample. As hinted by Scott Rasmussen yesterday, Team RR is back in the lead.”
Ain’t necessarily so.
Go to Rasmussen’s site, and read his most recent page on the “swing state” polls.
He -still- shows Obama as leading (by only a point or two, but still leading) in many of the toss-up states, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada, etc.
If Rasmussen is to be believed, this election is nowhere near over yet.
Indeed, it remains VERY close, and Romney still has fighting to do.
I find it strange that while Rasmussen shows Romney as “up” in an aggregate total of the swing states, where individual states are concerned, Obama still leads in the most critical ones (Ohio in particular).
I am cautiously optimistic, but do not see a convincing win for Mr. Romney as of yet.
Perhaps he can put it away on Monday night....
Romney is leading 50-46% in the swing state poll a big bump. I would also point out that Ras is using a +3-4% dem sample.
Facts are: Mitt Romney won the second POTUS debate hands down. Both Joe Biden and Barack Hussein Obama have gained nothing from three debates!!! I suspect that Mitt Romney will make mince meat out of Obama (The Libya Murderer of American Diplomats, Obama’s fault) come the Monday night foreign affairs debate!!!
I look at my pretty deep blue state, CT, as a surrogate of what is about to happen nationally: Obama won by 23 in 2008. Most recent Ras poll has him only up by 6. How can this phenomenon not be happening everywhere else? There really is no imaginable way R&R lose this election.
We are traveling through another dimension, a dimension not only of sight and sound but of,finally, common sense. A journey into the wondrous realization that these United States have been saved. Next stop, the Romney landslide!
The last ME poll I can find is dated, 9/28, PanAmSMS 51% - Romney 37% , and in early October Rothenberg & CQ/RollCall moved ME to "safe Dem".
ME has an SSM referendum called 'Question 1' that might in the past have helped the GOP candidate, but the polling shows it somewhere near 50% or above for passage. I realize of course that no SSM ballot question has ever won.
Is ANYONE TRULY undecided at this point?
Is there some magic word or phrase that one candidate is going to utter in the next debate that will make light bulbs go off across America and suddenly the great undecided will DECIDE?
There’s that 47 percent number again.
You know, it's funny, I ripshitted that first April USANoWay Bobo+4 MoE4 RV bground poll as a farcical attempt to shape the narrative (which it was), particularly including two states PA & MI which hadn't gone GOP since '88 -- 24 freaking years -- and here it is mid-October, and PA & MI are actually in play. Anyone who wants some cred towards a Reagan-like magnus force election, there you go.
I know most think Ras is accurate. But consider where we are, what regime silence and 1984-type risks we endure and how divided the country is...none of us pubbies/conservatives/libertarians offer our opinions in open forums, polls, etc. At least I don’t. I’m silent until Nov 6th unless I am in a situation to reason with someone...but commies can’t be reasoned with. I posted this elsewhere today, but you get the gist:
I live in Ohio- Cincy to be exact - in the city - near UC - near Xavier...I can say anecdotely that the enthusiasm isn’t there like 2008; no buzz - AND NO ONE HAS knocked on my door for votes!!! I had 10 people by now in 2008.
No way no how is any poll accurate...we conservatives/libertarians/whatevers simply hang up on pollsters simply don’t answer simply want to be silent majority and put 0bummer out on his keester in a couple weeks...he can live in his miserable life with Mooshell and their weird relationship like Clinton...$$$ ain’t gonna make him happy in Hawaii with his lifetime pension and commie circle of friends...
Point is, Ohio is going to Romney. These folks near me with their signs in their yards ain’t gonna crawl across broken glass like they did in 2008...but I will.
You're right.
Someone on Fox said these election polls are tracking like the "Tea party" elections of 2010. That's what my gut's telling me.
Unless you read something different than I did, Rasmussen never said there would be a "big bump" today. He said despite them being tied yesterday, Romney had polled better than Obama on the first 2 days after the debate, and that today should show modest improvement for Romney.
“What about the swing state poll?”
I believe it is Romney 50 - Obama 46 today.
The intolerant left highlighted the danger to conservatives of expressing their opinions in public with the vendetta against Chick Filet and Dan Cathy—elected officials using government power. It’s so easy to audit a tax return (I had a spurious request for documentation of a deduction I’d been taking for years in ‘09). As far back as ‘00, my post office delivered my National Review with a picture of the newly elected Bush on the cover with an almost surgically precise razor slash through his face . I’d never had a magazine with that kind of marring delivered before or since—just another permutation of “going postal” I suppose.
Agreed 110%!
The so-called "weekend effect" may be there for some polls, but not for Rasmussen -- apparently because he adjusts his numbers to cancel out the relatively low weekend response rate from 'Pub supporters.
A year or two ago, I ran the Rasmussen numbers for a multimonth period to see if Ras's Monday reports (representing numbers from Friday, Saturday and Sunday night polling) showed a systematic pro-Obama bias as compared to the Friday reports (which use the numbers from Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday nights).
Outcome:
There was a very small ANTI-Obama bias in the numbers, but it wasn't statistically significant.
(I don't recall the exact figures, but they were something like 16 Monday swings against Obama, vs. 15 swings in his favor.)
Obama is way in over his head. There is no denying it.
Obama seems like a likeable person, but in this instance, the past four years have proven that Obama is out of his league and way in over his head. Sorry.
Now if we can only convince the good people in Ohio that Obama is way in over his head and that community organizer skills are just not enough skills to be President of the United States.
With Hope and Change, there is always tomorrow. But sadly, tomorrow never comes.
This supports my hobby-horse theory. Since most peoples' main source of information is the almost exclusively AP-generated drive-time news headlines, and fewer people are listening over weekends, their responses will be less influenced by the carefully crafted liberal bias of "what they heard today."
i agree totally...its gonna take a special prosecutor and “under oaths” to get to the bottom of all the lying, in stead, go after the lack of security leading up to the attack. Also, watch the job approval...18 days out and Obama is at 47-52, Plus, hes -16. Romney can finish him off Monday.
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