Nate Silver is wrong and Gallup is correct.
It predicted Obama’s win down to the final point on Oct 18th, 2008.
He can’t dismiss it simply because it shows a result he doesn’t like. I think Mitt Romney holds a very strong lead. Other pollsters just don’t want to come out and say it.
Every one knows Romney is going to win this election and it won’t be a close one at all.
Look Nate Silver in 2010 ended up predicting the election in most cases but what is hard to find in writing, but I remember, is he changed his October 31st final stats by about a third. Before that he spewed the same crap he is spewing now that promotes his liberal roots being the son of a MSU liberal professor and a mom who is a nut liberal.