Unskewed is showing 342 EVs for Romney here:
http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_01.cfm
giving Romney PA, and MI as surprises.
As far as I’m concerned, this site is unbiased and uses realistic turnout assumptions.
They are showing Main at 49-47 Obama, if it is that close it would be 343.
I'm good with 270 and up.
Unskewed’s numbers look very reasonable to me as well.
Thanks for posting the link.