[GeronL]

NC is in the Romney bag now?

[MadelineZapeezda]

Yes! He will win PA....I am sure!

[Rumierules]

NC is in the Romney bag now?

____________________

That would not surprise me. Here in Florida, it seems a lot like 2004. As long as the demographics of the state have not changed drastically, I would think a 2004 margin or better for Romney is likely.

[eyedigress]

NC is not voting for Obama. I travel 1200mi a week in the Carolina’s and have seen ONE bumper sticker for numbnuts and that was in Charlotte.

[srmorton]

I have lived in NC all my life and I never believed for one minute that Obama could win NC again. I am seeing R/R signs all over the place, but very few O/B signs.

[CriticalJ]

“NC is in the Romney bag now?”

If you go by the yard sign battle, Romney is going to win handily. I’ve been keeping a mental tab and in my area, it is at least an 8-1 Romney advantage.

[County Agent Hank Kimball]

I continue to be baffled as to why North Carolina has ever been considered anything but a gimme for the GOP.

In the biggest Dem election since 1964, NC went 50-49 Obama in 2008. Here is how NC voted in the past 4 presidential elections. The numbers in partnthesis are the national percentages for comparison.

Year         GOP                 Dem
2008     49% (46%)     50% (53%)
2004     56% (51%)     44% (48%)
2000     56% (48%)     43% (48%)
1996     49% (41%)     44% (49%)

In every single election NC voted GOP by significantly higher percentages than the country: by 3%, 5%, 8% and 8%. And of course it voted coreespondingly less for Democrats: by 3%, 4%, 5% and 5%.

So for NC to have been in any way a battleground would have to mean Romney was in for a drubbing. If a state that consistently more GOP than the electorate was in doubt....well, what the hell? How could Romney possibly have a prayer in such a scenario.

My prediction is Rommney beats Filth 53% to 46% in NC.

Hank