Is that enough margin to overcome the 107% voter turnout for Obama in Philadelphia?
I think Romney is probably up by 7+ and if the Democrats are really demoralized, he could take the state by 10+. He’s not like Bush - he’s a liberal Republican who fits naturally in with the NE.
He won’t win his home state of MA or carry NY but that’s due mainly to the fact the demographics make it impossible for a GOP presidential candidate to win there. Reagan was the exception to that rule.