Posted on 10/18/2012 1:10:42 PM PDT by nhwingut
I’m trying
The revenge of Big Coal!
Is that enough margin to overcome the 107% voter turnout for Obama in Philadelphia?
Whether PA votes R/R or not (remember, there are millions of dead people in Philadelphia), if he’s up in PA, Ohio is gone for the Kenyan, probably MI, WI, IA and a few others.
This poll may be the canary in the coal mine for the Kenyan. And it’s lookin’ like a dead canary.
I think Romney is probably up by 7+ and if the Democrats are really demoralized, he could take the state by 10+. He’s not like Bush - he’s a liberal Republican who fits naturally in with the NE.
He won’t win his home state of MA or carry NY but that’s due mainly to the fact the demographics make it impossible for a GOP presidential candidate to win there. Reagan was the exception to that rule.
Scuttlebutt I’m getting is that large numbers of riff-raff still think they are gonna need an ID to vote this time. They are too busy getting drunk, high, or watching reality TV to realize that a judge put the law on hold. So if they don’t have a valid ID (or DO have a bench warrant or somesuch) they’ll probably stay home.
If true this all hinges on how well the Dems can get word to their lemmings the they won’t need an ID.
PA is usually ‘fools gold’ for the GOP in presidential elections, but this one could be different. With the coal issue big there, plus many elderly and Jewish voters, and a lot of Reagan Democrats that have nothing in common with Obama, I’d say it’s worth at least putting some resources into the state.
It appears in Philadelphia that they vote for the Democrat when they don’t show up. I’m not sure that staying home helps.
Independents will break heavily R. And Obamacare is unpopular in places like PA.
Obama will get his 47% for sure but he won’t win.
Proceed...
This feels right where I live in South Central PA. I think the Philadelphia suburbs are turning for Romney. I hope Romney starts running ads in the Philadelphia market. That bleeds over into South Jersey and Delaware. This can be contagious.
Bob Beckel on The Five says, “it’s over”.
When Democratic pollster Bob Beckel seconds me, he’s telling the truth.
Nothing is going to change the way this race is going. Me likes it.
The philly democrat machine, along with the unions will turn out 100%+ guaranteed.
Always has, always will - they will pay “walking around money” to vote, besides intimidation tactics for the recalcitrant.
I live in a fairly liberal township in Montgomery County, one of the Philly suburbs. I found it strange this year that I did not see nearly as many Obama signs as I have in the past. I mean, there are hardly any. Not a lot of Romney signs but that is to be expected.
If Romney wins PA, I suspect its because his slamming Obama’s War on Coal in the West and Scranton is working and because the liberal suburbs of Philly (where I live) aren’t going to turn out and vote like they did before. There is evidence that the Philly suburbs aren’t going to turn out and vote like they have before.
What is Beckel saying?
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