It was Philadelphia County where Obama picked up a 480,000 vote cushion. He won PA by about 600,000 votes. Voter fraud in Philly is the real margin of victory along with Alleghany County (Pittsburg), which Obama won by 100,000 votes.
There are a lot of misconceptions about PA by people who don’t live here.. they just see the voter registration deltas and buy into things that just aren’t true.
PHILLY is what drags PA left, easily costing 5-8 points in any election cycle typically that the rest of the state must counter. If Philly was not part of PA, this state would be damn near close to as RED as any souther state is these days in national elections.
2008 State was overwhelmed out of Philly and disgust with Bush/Bush Fatgue.. whatever you want to call it repressed Republican turnout overall here.
I feel in all the conversations and things I’ve done this cycle here, Obamas lead here is maybe a few points at best, and that if Romney decided to fight, get on the airwaves and FIGHT for PA he could win it. Way things stand now I’d say Obama holds it buy by just a few points.
If Romney starts advertising and visiting that could change.
However, if Romney wins PA without even fighting for it, that means you aren’t just looking at a win you are looking at a route. If that should happen, states absolutely no one is even talking about being in play will move to Romney’s column.
However as I said, right now, I’d say Obama holds the state but only by a few points since Romney isn’t fighting for it.