Keep an eye on PA, WI, MI, CT and OR.
Election night will be full of surprises.
You’ll know immediately how well things are going if they hesitate to call NH. They will probably have to call VA, but if NH goes then Romney almost certainly will win. Then it’s PA-—and if PA goes Romney, you’re looking at 320-330 EVs.
Why can polls be scewed to the Democrats? What if people being polled have a Democrat spouse or other house member within hearing range during the poll? That might have a chilling effect on the person being polled. ——————————————————————————————
As far as all of this attention being paid to the swing states, what if some of the states that are believed to be going to Obama end up going to Romney? Couldn’t that throw the Electoral College into the Romney side even if he doesn’t win in all of the swing states. I think this election is going to be a blowout for Romney.