I was reviewing the last month's Rasmussen Senate polls, and it is a disaster. The entire GOP Senate campaign has totally collapsed.
I will be putting out a complete analysis later this weekend, but we're in worst-case scenario now and need an immediate turnaround strategy, or Romney will NOT have a united Congress to support him.
-PJ
would you ping me to your senate analysis when you post it? Thanks.
Don’t stress it too much.
The Senate polls from a month ago are pretty worthless. The more recent numbers are far more encouraging, and I look for that trend to continue unless Romney completely falls apart in the next debate.
I would not say collapsed.
We should be picking up 6 or 7 but will likely get 3 or 4. With a Romney win, 3 is enough.
We should hold NV, MA and IN (although we could lose all 3)
We should pick up NB, ND, and MT. We will lose ME.
Dead heats are WI, OH, VA.
Still it is disappointing that the result is in doubt.
We might get CT, PA, HA. MO.
Worst case scenario is we lose 4 seats. Best case is we pick up 9. I’m betting on we gain 4.
First Snowe dropped out which was a sure win and is now a sure loss. Next was the Akin disaster which turned a sure win into a likely loss. Nest was Lugar losing in the primary which turned a sure win into a squeak by win. Next is the Mack LeMieux primary in FL that turned a dead heat general into a likely loss.