Candidates who don't pick up on that trend will lose..
You seem to set your mind on spreading anxiety among Romney supporters. Why would you want to do that to a candidate you will not vote for, anyway? After all, primaries have passed long time ago. Ron Paul already said he won’t support Romney. Romney’s campaign has decided their strategy and this is mid October. Just wait until after the election to see whether you’re right (and hence, earn the right of ‘I told you so’) or that Romney’s people actually know better than you do.
I’m a little disappointed you didn’t read my post on Colorado from two days ago...
2008: Obama-1.29 million votes (53.7%)
McCain-1.07 million votes (44.7%)
1.7 million votes were early/absentee votes in 2008. Most of this was absentee. For all the early voters in 2008, dems constituted 37.7% and repubs constituted 35.9%.
2012: Repubs have requested 656,813 ballots
Dems have requested 627,064 ballots
We have an abolute lead of about 30,000 in ballot requests. Plus add in the independent requests (don’t have that number) and we are quickly approaching total turnout for 08 and probably past all the early voting for 08. I need the number of unaffiliated requests to confirm this.
As of 10/1/12, there were 871,000 registered republicans and 807,000 registered dems and 798,000 unaffiliateds. So 657,000 republicans have requested ballots (75% of republicans are already locked in) and 627,000 dems have requested ballots (77% of dems locked in).
Fast forward to today. We have a much greater registration advantage compared to 2008. It is 64,000 compared to 12,000 and it was as high as 100,000 during the summer but nonetheless still much greater than 2008. And we are keeping pace with the ballot requests with dems and actually leading them in actual totals even though our percentage is slightly less.
At the close of registration in 08, 3.2 million registered voters and 2.4 million of those voted. That is a turnout of about 75% of registered voters.
Now we have 2.5 million voters on the rolls as of 10/1/12 and the deadline for registration was 10/9. And we are already at 75% of republicans having ballots and 77% of dems having ballots - I think this election is pretty much done. Not many more voters to vote overall. And we know unaffiliateds here in CO are different this year compared to 2008. All we needed to do was make sure republicans vote and vote R/R and I think that is readily apparent.
What say you?