Is Pennsylvania in Play (Three pollsters say: Yes!)

Townhall.com ^ | 10/11/12 | Guy Benson

[TonyInOhio]

It's always valuable to get the scoop from the source, and this is very encouraging. I suspect Obama still wins Pennsylvania, but if these pollsters are showing a close race there, then Romney is clearly leading in Ohio, which has similar demographics but leans more to the right. If Romney loses PA by two or three points on election night, it means he has has already carried Ohio and likely is the President-Elect.

[randita]

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[matt04]

Breaking Rasmussen Connecticut : Obama 51% Romney 45% (Oct 9th)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2942341/posts

[PghBaldy]

My thoughts too, though I would not be completely shocked in Romney wins PA too. Things are BAD all over and people are not happy.

[napscoordinator]

The last time Pennsylvania went for a President was in 1988 with George HW Bush. Bush was a moderate Republican and at best Romney is a moderate Republican so it is possible that Pennsylvania may go for Romney.

[napscoordinator]

The last time Pennsylvania went for a President was in 1988 with George HW Bush. Bush was a moderate Republican and at best Romney is a moderate Republican so it is possible that Pennsylvania may go for Romney.

[VermiciousKnid]

This is just anecdotal but interesting nonetheless...

I literally just returned to Long Island an hour ago from a brief trip to the family lake house in Wayne County, PA (near Honesdale).

During the drive through rural NJ (Sparta, Branchville, Montague), Pike County PA (Milford), Wayne County PA (Hawley/Honesdale), and on a side trip through Lackawanna County PA (Scranton/Carbondale), I decided to count lawn signs — I only counted signs placed on PRIVATE property — not outside political headquarters offices or on public property like town squares. Here’s what I saw:

Lawn signs for Romney/Ryan: 47
Lawn signs for Obama: 10
Plus...one hand-made, very large painted wooden sign in Waymart, PA that read: “For God’s Sake WAKE UP AMERICA! He’s Ruining Our Country!”

Sounds like PA’s in play to me, if I’m seeing numbers like that in a union thug area like Lackawanna County.

Regards,

[Darren McCarty]

The problem in PA has been a combination of Philly and its burbs which are more democrap than most burbs. Republicans have been making inroads in the Pitt area but Montgomery County, Bucks County, and Delaware County have killed us.

[jboot]

We spend a lot of weekends driving in rural PA. With the exception of the Pennsylvania Dutch areas, the place is looking as run-down and threadbare as I've ever seen it, and I clearly recall the conditions Carter years. If anything it is in worse shape now. Long-established family businesses are locked up and gone. Subdivisions full of vacant McMansions and trash are everywhere between Harrisburg and Allentown. Worst of all, the spirit seems to have gone out of people. Everyone seems tired and beaten, and some folks have gotten mean. We actually cut our last day trip short because it was just too depressing and I was tired of dealing with sullen people.

All this is to say, how in the h*ll can these people vote for "Four More Years?"

[Drill Thrawl]

The problem is that Philthydelphia and Pittsburgh pretty much rule the state as far as state wide elections go.

Philthy in particular is known for having precincts that report more votes than registered voters and no one bats an eye. And let us not forget the New Black Pampers.

[Drill Thrawl]

Republicans have been making inroads in the Pitt area but Montgomery County, Bucks County, and Delaware County have killed us.

Chester county has been back-sliding as well.

It's maily all the people that fled Philthy and brought all their bull crap with them.

[PA Engineer]

I have suspected Pennsylvania was in play ever since the Democratic Primary undervote was published. Western PA Democrats are clearly looking for another choice this election.

Pennsylvania is a closed primary state. It is surprising so many Democrats voted down ticket in the Primary and ignored the presidential choice. This will be an interesting election. I do believe Philadelphia vote fraud has been included in the polling data.

[Theodore R.]

What would Benjamin Franklin say today about his beloved Philadelphia? Would he be surprised at how it turned out?

[Drill Thrawl]

What would Benjamin Franklin say today about his beloved Philadelphia? Would he be surprised at how it turned out?

As to the filthy and stench, probably not as the nickname Philthydelphia goes back about 300 years. As to the socialist entitlement mentality that has taken hold, I imagine he would go ballistic or as Davey Crockett would later say "You may all go to Hell, I will go to Texas."

[workerbee]

The last time Pennsylvania went for a President was in 1988 with George HW Bush. Bush was a moderate Republican and at best Romney is a moderate Republican so it is possible that Pennsylvania may go for Romney.

The difference is the intervening 25 years in which the Dem party has become completely subsumed by its radical left Marxists and the 24/7 PR campaign run for them by the MSM. This turns the "moderation" of HW into the "ultra rightwing facism" of Romney. With the large Philly & Pittsburgh urban population, union history, cultural affiliation to the Dem party.... I don't know... I'd love to see PA go R, but I just don't think it's going to happen.

[HamiltonJay]

Welcome to the party folks.. I’ve been trying to tell folks this for MONTHS!!!!!!

PA is in play, always has been, Romney fights for it, he can win it.. and because PA is where it is, the very idea that Obama has a chance in hell at OH is laughable.

[ExCTCitizen]

- Is Romney within six...in Connecticut?

Hmmmm... within 6 in CT?? With Linda running a great campaign, they might be a surprise for Danny Boy and the other Marxists in CT (3 GOP house members, and a R senator?)

CT is not as LIBERAL as Mass...but Malloy cheated to get in the GOVERNOR'S OFFICE... Folley should be the GOV.

[HamiltonJay]

If it wasn’t for Philly, PA would be as reliably red as any state of the south.

Folks liek to blame Pitt, and while the city and county are solidly democratic it does not remotely pull the state. Philly is what overwhelms republicans, not Pitt.

You come out of Philly without being smothered as a republican you win PA.

PA has ALWAYS been in play, but up until now, Romney seems to have yeilded the field of battle, and I agree I would probably focus elsewhere first as well. However, if Romney were to fight for it, he could win it. Or at very least cause OBAMA to have to spend a lot of time and money to try to defend it and perhaps hold it by a small margin.

I look at PA as the bellweather at this point.. Romney clearly conceded PA a while ago, if suddenly you see major ad buys in PA, that’s your indication that the Romney campaign feels confident they have the election won.

[HenpeckedCon]

“PA is in play, always has been, Romney fights for it, he can win it.. and because PA is where it is, the very idea that Obama has a chance in hell at OH is laughable.”

Mitt doesn't need PA. He needs to spend every single resource in Ohio.

[Shadow44]

It’s all about the suburban counties. The T will stay Republican, but whoever wins the southeastern suburbs like Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery wins the state.

Philadelphia by itself can’t carry the state, even in 1972 when Nixon got nearly 20 points ahead of McGovern, Philadelphia still voted for McGovern.

1988 was the last time the Suburban counties voted Republican, and the voters there are more fiscally conservative than anything.

Social issues are a turnoff for a lot of people, which is why I know people who thought that Bush was a “Redneck Christo-fascist” (remember that buzz word?) who are voting for Romney this time.