It will be close regardless of such anecdotal information. The Dems in NoVA are organized and motivated—and they are numerous. A split here would guarantee a victory for Romney. A split is the best case scenario.
>> It will be close regardless of such anecdotal information. The Dems in NoVA are organized and motivated—and they are numerous. A split here would guarantee a victory for Romney. A split is the best case scenario. <<
Yea, for sure, anecdotes can be unreliable. On the other hand, collect enough anecdotes and you’ve got data!
So here are four anecdotal factoids I’ll contribute to the mix:
1. My neighborhood in Arlington was full of Øbama yard signs in 2008. Only three or four this year. Distinct lack of enthusiasm for Dhimmis among the civil servants who dominate the inner suburbs. The Dhimmis will still carry Arlington and Alexandria, of course, but their margin can’t possibly match their 2008 performance.
2. Motored down US 29 from NOVA to Charlottesville a few weeks ago, and saw dozens and dozens of GOP yard signs — mostly the super-giant size. Only three or four small signs for President Zero until well within the city limits of Ch’ville. Moreover, I saw not a single Goode sign in his “home” territory. Obviously, the Piedmont is roaring to go for the GOP!
3. Was in Falls Church City a few days ago and noticed maybe a dozen Øbama yard signs, only one for RR. Crazyman Nick Benton and his followers clearly will deliver “the Little City” to the Dhimmis by a comfortable margin.
4. Drove yesterday thru Fairfax County from the Arlington line to Tyson’s Corner. Counted 13 RR yard signs, only five for the big Ø. Doesn’t seem quite as good for the GOP as during the 2009 governor’s race, when I saw zero yard signs for the Dhimmis on the same route, but still indicates a better-than-2008 performance for the GOP in the outer suburbs.
Conclusion:
RR can probably hold TØTUS and Company to a near-tie in NOVA, while generating a huge margin in the Piedmont. If GOP enthusiasm in the Valley, Southside and Coal Country is anything like what I saw in the Piedmont, RR should be able to take the Commonwealth by at least two or three points.