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To: smoothsailing

“Mitt Romney has bounced back from a Pa. low according to the latest poll from Rasmussen. He trails President Obama by 5 points, 51 percent to 46. But that’s a 7 point jump for Romney since’ Rasmussen’s previous Pa. poll, taken in mid-September.”

Sorry folks.

Obama has been holding steady at 51% in Pennsylvania for a while now. Rasmussen has been polling 51% for Obama there for weeks.

Short of something totally catastrophic to the Obama campaign — something that will make the first debate look like peanuts by comparison — Romney isn’t going to win PA. He may get close, but he’ll still fall short. Of course, I’d enjoy seeing an “Obama catastrophe”, and I won’t mind if I’m proven wrong on this one.

Romney is going to have to find the electoral votes elsewhere. Ohio may become his “last stand”. He can get to 270 ev’s with Ohio, but without it, he loses.

Sorry for the pessimism.
I’m a realist, and that’s how I see it.
(I would say the same thing in reverse for any state in which Romney is already breaking 50-51%)


17 posted on 10/10/2012 1:38:33 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Road Glide
I won’t mind if I’m proven wrong on this one.

It won't bother me either.

18 posted on 10/10/2012 1:48:28 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Road Glide

I’m a realist too and I see several catastrophes looming for Obuggery that are like several icebergs to the Titanic:

1. The VP debate
2. The Stock Market Drop (Yes it will go down quite a bit until after Election Day)Just started today.
3. The Foreign Policy Debate
4. The truth about Libya, Jobs Numbers, etc, etc.


21 posted on 10/10/2012 2:07:01 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Road Glide

Romney CAN win without Ohio but I doubt he’ll lose it. It is looking more likely that Romney will also win WI. I won’t be surprised if he takes PA as well. Romney is in a better position than the Kenyan anti-christ.

BTW, you haven’t hit this poll yet.

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (R 49 O 44, R +20 w Indies)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2942874/posts


22 posted on 10/10/2012 2:07:30 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Road Glide

The point is not for Romney to carry PA, but to cost Obama a fortune to defend it.

Romney campaign and Super Pacs: move into Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, Scranton, Erie and Philly markets, move the needle and force Obama to react.

DRAIN OBAMA DRY.


25 posted on 10/10/2012 2:27:00 PM PDT by mwl8787
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