I listened to the guy saying this. I didn’t buy it. He said, iirc, something about Obama being below 50% being why they can say that Romney will win Fla, Va, and NC.
Romney is pulling away in NC, so I’ll give them that one. Fla and VA remain too close, though.
Seems to me that a smart candidate would take this suffolk prediction with a grain of salt.
Yeah, ignore it like all University and media polling. It is just fun to mess with the Leftists. After a month of “It is all over Obama has won” polling, it fun to put the shoe on the other foot and kick the Left with it.
The guy also said that the Romney trends were strong (and I think they are seeing the internal stuff that is leaking out of the others-- Romney up big among indies, middle class, now women, plus higher turnout among Rs).
One mor reason to think this is true: this is a smaller outfit than Gallup, Ras, Mason Dixon, and they have to juggle their resources more closely.
Oh and this: there was a little noticed story last week that one of the Zero PACs had pulled out of VA. Naturally, this got no play in the DriveBys.
PV dynamics.
Or a block of salt. At any rate the obama team isn't writing VA off...I can tell you that. I watched House last night on FOX...the Nats had a night off...and there was an obama commercial every break. Every single one! And every single commercial is an attack on Romney. Every one of them calls him a liar and not one has anything positive about obama. Hope and Change is dead!
I live in Virginia. Hampton Roads area. No doubt in my mind, even with the constant Mcrini effect that brought G. Allen down, that Obama has no shot in this state. It’s quite evident to me.