Obama 51% Romney 45%
Margin of error = 4.5%
Undecideds are breaking 2-to-1 for Romney
Connecticut is officially in the ballgame.
Lawn signs are out, but they are by and large for local candidates. Almost no presidential race signs at all. I'd say that is due to a couple of things - disgust with Obama, so no outright backing. Fear of vandalism by the Obama crowd, so no Romney signs. Folks here play their hands close to the vest and will do their talking on election day. That said, there are a lot of folks who will vote for Obama because Race is their number one issue.
My 20 year old son says his friends are disgusted with Obama because they just can't get work, but they see constantly changing "English as a second language" crews at McDonalds, Burger King, etc. This set of friends spans economic and racial demographics.
Catholics who were very much for Obama in 2008 have been taken to school and taught the real Catholic catechetical meaning of Social Justice which is based on the principle of subsidiarity. They've also had their faces shoved in the fight over religious freedoms and government intrusion. Many have been given pretty stern lectures about the difference between charity based on God's love, and redistribution based on governmental theft. Some, but not all have changed their minds about Obama.
Others, who were in that group who happily voted for the first African-American President, are now seeing the literal price of their choice. Gas and grocery prices through the roof, empty platforms at the train station for trains headed into New York City, card games on those trains which had lasted for 50 years (seriously) have ended. Folks see the effect, and people who would not normally consider a republican candidate are considering Romney because he isn't too radically right. Many are familiar with his time in neighboring Massachussetts.
There are a lot of business people around here, corporate employees who don't like the "Big Business is Bad" mantra spewed by the lefties. This group (of which I am one), would walk across hot coals to vote for Romney. Bain Capital is a known entity, and a respected one.
The tide is changing here. It may not change fast enough by election day, but it is changing. And some of us have been working hard at fostering that change.