I am not too sure of that sample. Rat registration is close to 50% in PA. There is only about 6 to 8% independent registration. The race in PA all boils down to turnout ... Depressed turnout in Philadlephia with Delaware, Bucks and Montgomery counties voting for Romney by a big margin to offset the hood vote in Philadelphia. The mid-state looks good for Romney. While not scientific, I took a long drive on Friday, and I saw zero Obama yard signs and bumper stickers. I drove from Mechanicsburg to E-town to Lebanon to Hamburg and back home to Mechanicsburg via interstates.
Latest numbers on Pennsylvania voter registration from the Secretary of State’s Office are:
D - 50
R - 38
I - 12