Good point . . . and post-bogus jobs report. I would ad another point or two, maybe three. Keep in mind, too, that Rasmussen is sampling a lot more Dems than he used to. He uses a dynamic model (I think it is 21 days, and thus, pre-debate and post-Dem-convention) in which he relies on Party self-identification by those polled. It may be as high as Dem+6 at this point. That will gradually shift in our direction, too. Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents. For now, Romney 49% to Obummer 47%? I’ll take it!
“Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents.”
Do you have a link to internals? I thought Ras had indies split at 47-47. If this is true then it would be practically impossible for Mitt to lose, especially if Ras uses the current GOP party ID advantage of 2.6 pts.
Sorry, didn’t read further down. Still, I don’t see the 16-pt advantage. It is interesting to see AA Romney support at 12% yet only 2% disapprove of BO’s performance. What gives?