Statistical noise, tied race that will be decided by turnout and late deciders.
Correct. Also, this is a national poll and this race will be decided in the swing states where Romney is doing almost all of his advertising and campaigning, and where the voters know more about the positive side of Romney and the negative side of Obama. The swing state polls are the ones to watch, much more than these national polls. It’s normal for a winning challenger to start behind the incumbent and then overtake the incumbent in the final month as the voters become more familiar with the challenger. That’s exactly what Romney is going to do.