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To: seanmerc

A poll based on 160 respondents is useless. There are 350 million people in the country. Extrapolating the results from 160 to 350 million is stupid, and does not give you a reliable number.

The 8% margin of error assumes that the 160 were a very typical representative segment of the population, in no way different from a group composed of 160 people who are definitely going to vote, chosen completely randomly without regard to where they live, possession of a land line, willingness to talk to a pollster, without regard to time of day (many people work at night).
That doesn’t include the dead people in Chicago who will vote democrat.


2 posted on 10/02/2012 1:58:00 PM PDT by I want the USA back
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To: I want the USA back

Not entirely true. The quality of the samples count too. Now I’m not defending anything here, I’m just stating that there is nothing inherently wrong with a sample size of 160. Just that if you do under sample there are other things you have to do to normalize the results across a broad spectrum of the state’s demographic (national polls are virtually useless).


6 posted on 10/02/2012 2:08:26 PM PDT by Usagi_yo
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