Posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
These results include “leaners,” people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Platinum Members can still see the more detailed numbers along with demographic breakdowns, and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
His electoral vote total went down from a decisive 82% in 1912 to a marginal 52% in 1916.
When it comes to polling numbers, I’m not really into spin. I want real numbers uncluttered by bias or poor poll design.
Some of the issues that continue to be of concern are:
1. Over-sampling of democrats. That’s grossly wrong, but it is not a problem with Rasmussen.
2. The 9% - apparently only 9% of the population will bother answering pollsters any more. One has to wonder if the oddities that make them willing to respond to pollsters also makes them unusual regarding their choice of candidates.
3. The cellphone/landline problem. Pollsters claim to have solved this, but it is nonetheless true that senior americans are far less likely to be a “cell phone only” household.
4. The time of day/week concern: Calling on weekends gets a certain type of person and calling during normal working hours gets a different type of person.
These are all concerns in polling that could explain the wide disparity between actual results and exit polling results from the last few elections.
The easiest answer (and legitimate, in my view) is that polling organizations manipulate polls for personal/political reasons. Some will attack that response and ask why in the world they’d do that. The answers are too obvious: good old fashion being bought off, or a strongly held political view, or publicity for the firm, etc.
Re Balance has the Rasmussen poll at
48.4- 45.4 using a +0.44% D sampling model.
http://polls2012.blogspot.com/
Gallup at the same number with the correction applied to the 0.44% D sampling model.
“I think he will go down by Wednesday”
Maybe, maybe not. A pure guess.
We are in Pa and have not seen one Romney Ad.As the Old Lady in the commercial said.”Where’s the Beef”
I don’t like him. At all.
I just get frustrated with Republicans that were never in a fistfight in their lives.
I don’t like him. At all.
I just get frustrated with Republicans that were never in a fistfight in their lives.
No one was “foisted” on anyone. Romney won fair and square (not that conservatives could come up with a legitimate candidate) and that victory cannot be blamed on/credited to anyone except the voters themselves.
Complete B.S.
Romney won because of the voters.
A “True” conservative could not get within sniffing distance of the nomination much less be winning the general election.
They flamed out all over the landscape in the primaries and they were the best available.
Where is this “true” conservative to come from?
“Complete B.S.
Romney won because of the voters.”
BS yourself! Romney won because Romney is a RINO with backing of the RINO establishment GOP, attacks on his opponents who split the conservative vote, and the media that always helps pushs the liberal establishment GOP RINOs over the primary finish line before backstabbing them for their Rat favorite.
I was hoping for Sarah, then liked Perry who self-destructed and never liked Romney but there is no question that he performed better than his opponents all down the line during the primaries. Nor is there any question that he is eligible to be President and therefore, infinitely preferable to The Disaster.
If that is true then this nation is in a permanent tailspin and hopelessly doomed. Liberalism, whether from the far left or moderate left RINOs will continue the march the nation toward catering to the parasites, criminals, leftist destructive causes, and perversions simply to attract votes.
You won’t even get agreement about what a “True” conservative is even around here. According to the conventional wisdom EVERYONE is a “RINO”.
This nation has been on a Leftward path since the election of 1800 when Jefferson campaigned against the Banks and “Wealthy”. Class warfare has almost always been a winning strategy in almost every section of the country.
Most of what people believe about our past is a complete myth.
“...catering to the parasites, criminals, leftist destructive causes, and perversions simply to attract votes...” is not new, with the exception of the pervertophilia either.
“Conservatives rarely unite around a candidate with even a slight chance and this race was no exception.”
If that is the future then there will never be another Reagan.
Hmmm...will recheck that.
Another good point.
No there never will be another Reagan. Reagan was so successful with the voters because he was able to negate the media’s anti-conservative bias because he was TRAINED by that media.
American families were raised with RR as a sort of father/grandfather figure in their homes. He introduced Westerns for years then after the kids had become grownups he came into their homes as the host of the GE Theater on Sunday nights where he was introduced to a whole new set of people.
His genial qualities made him ideal for those roles which then inoculated him against the media attacks after he became a politician. Years of acting lessons and experience did not hurt either.
Reagan could have been elected with any beliefs and on any platform, we are fortunate that he was conservative.
sometime I think you are wasting your time, some conservatives are just too stubborn or dumb to realize that we are where we are because the democrats would never let the other guy win cause their guy isn’t liberal enough for their liking they take every incremental victory now matter how small and keep trying to move the ball, if voting for Romney means getting rid of obama and having a true conservative like Ryan as VP that not my best scenario but it’s far better than the alternative. additionally I think many of the “anti Romney” conservatives are just trolls
You mean those Romney staffers that McCain hired in 2008?
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