That’s why I think this poll is legit. The race is tied within MOE. (After 2 weeks of media telling us race was over - Nate Silver had it listed at 90% certainty or something stupid last week).
And Romney is up 4 with Indies. Obama won Indies by 8 in 2008 and won overall by 7. He cannot win in 2012 by losing Indies.
I agree. The dems spent massively on negative advertising through the summer and the race is still very close. Romney can win this thing. The core tactical problems continue to be the facts that the press functions as Obama’s praetorian guard and that Obama’s status as the first black president insulates him from personal attack. A double standard, yes, but it’s there.
I think Romney’s best line of attack in the debates would be humor, but I don’t know if he has the knack for it. A “there you go again” line, successfully delivered, would do wonders.