The poll underpolls Indies, only 15% were polled.
Exactly. That’s the new trick. They can’t get away with D+6-7 any more. So what they are now doing is undersampling Indies - and making the partisan split in the 40s, i.e. D 45 R 42 I 15.
In 2008 the Dems turned out at 39%. They are not going to be at 45%.
Romney has a 4 point edge with Indies in this poll.
If the split was a more realistic 37 34 29 - Romney would be up by 2-3.