Here’s a chart I made based on 2008 results...
States McCain lost
49.38 North Carolina 196
48.82 Indianna 207
48.10 Florida 236
46.80 Ohio 254
46.33 Virginia 267
44.71 Colorado 276
Good info...I have been saying same. Remember when the early swing state polls had Romney up? All the media did was complain that Missouri and Indiana skewed the results.
Well, then they dropped those two (R states) and added Wisconsin and Michigan, two D state which then skewed the results the other way. PA is always considered a swing state even though it NEVER is in a prez race.
Bottomline: Obama will win PA and MI and probably WI. The only swing states Romney really needs to focus on are VA, OH, FL, and CO - as you showed. He wins those. He wins. None of the other states matter.