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Barone: When it comes to polls, readers beware
Washington Examiner ^ | September 29, 2012

Posted on 09/30/2012 6:57:26 AM PDT by SMGFan

As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters.

First, some points about the limits of polls. Random-sample polling is an imprecise instrument. There's an error margin of 3 or 4 percent and polling theory tells us that one out of 20 polls is wrong, with results outside the margin of error. Sometimes it's easy to spot such an outlier; sometimes not.

In addition, it's getting much harder for pollsters to get people to respond to interviews. The Pew Research Center reports that it's getting only 9 percent of the people it contacts to respond to its questions. That's compared with 36 percent in 1997.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; barone
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To: wetgundog

>> “Surfing Youtube for oldies but goodies like The Seekers, Carpenters, Jay and the Americans, Gary Lewis and the Playboys and Pet Clark is a good diversion from ObamaCRAP.” <<

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The above are all socialist dupes; how would they be a good diversion?


41 posted on 09/30/2012 4:54:08 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: patriotspride

>> “Sean if informative...” <<

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Give him a clue, he hasn’t found one on his own yet.

Sean is there because he is too stupid to know that he is being used... ...simply because he is stupid.


42 posted on 09/30/2012 5:02:37 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Neidermeyer

“Safe holdings” means prescious metal bullion coins, and ‘junk’ silver.

No honest investment councellor would call anything else safe.


43 posted on 09/30/2012 5:07:11 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Churchillspirit

At my parish, the message from the pulpit is: Holy Mother Church is under attack. Resist we much.


44 posted on 09/30/2012 5:08:23 PM PDT by Ax
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To: NVDave

>> “Hannity has gotten so stump-hole-stupid that I will listen to my tinnitus rather than listen to Hannity.” <<

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LOL!


45 posted on 09/30/2012 5:09:24 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

Also young women are often uncomfortable approaching people. As a result they seek out people to interview whom they feel most comfortable with. That’s probably not they 55 year old guy with the John Deere cap.


46 posted on 09/30/2012 5:17:10 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: editor-surveyor

“Safe holdings” means prescious metal bullion coins, and ‘junk’ silver.

No honest investment councellor would call anything else safe.
****************************************
I agree with you but Rush has shown an unrealistic “faith” in the markets and the people that manipulate them, taking the side of the banksters on the air repeatedly... he could be wiped out if he holds debt instruments.


47 posted on 09/30/2012 5:20:53 PM PDT by Neidermeyer
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To: Neidermeyer

Rush may be sufficiently in with the elite that he would be notified before the Fed or Euro bank pull out of the markets.


48 posted on 09/30/2012 5:47:32 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: SMGFan

Time to skip reading all political news, just listen to Rush, Sean & Mark. At Prime Time Go watch new Fall TV season. Do not overdose in politics”

Well said. I couldn't agree more.

On the other hand I know several people who aren't lazy, food stamp collecting types who are going to vote for Obama. Even though some agree wholeheartedly that everything sucks right now they just can't bring themselves to vote for any republican. I swear sometimes people won't change until they hit rock bottom face first.

49 posted on 10/01/2012 2:27:37 AM PDT by saneright
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