Hi guys,
I’m liking the numbers so far, but I’m slightly concerned that the Republicans in higher-D counties are outperforming the Republicans in higher-R counties, period. Given how OH does its voter registration, I’m worried that this indicates that voters crossed party lines to vote in a primary they considered more interesting. How would you interpret it?
I do see a little of that. 1) those in red counties may psychologically think they don’t “have” to vote early because they know their counties are safe. Or, 2) there just may not be more room for Rs to grow in these counties. Think Warren: it’s going to be hard to make that county redder. Is this what you mean-—that Warren should be 4:1 R instead of 2:1?