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To: RaisingCain
No, the "hubbub" is that a) Dem numbers are down, but more important Dem percentages compared to 2008 absentee numbers. Then further, you have R numbers up, and in many counties way up, over 2008. Now, further let this sink in; it's across the board, in every county. The total vote is not the issue. The issue is, Can we make assumptions based on the comparisons between 08 and 2012 about the turnout in the general election? And history says, "Yep." The fact that this is universal means we can cross off statistical anomalies as accounting for the turnout differential.

The upshot is, the polls are badly off based on REAL DATA. There is no reason to assume even a 2-point D advantage, much less a +9 Dem advantage. It means we are looking at another 2012, not 2008 .

64 posted on 09/28/2012 6:33:18 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Another 2010, right? :)


68 posted on 09/28/2012 7:01:50 PM PDT by aposiopetic
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