Ain't gunna happen.
2008 was a fluke that will not replicate. A normal turn out election and he is swamped by Republican votes. In this election MORE Republicans than Democrats will vote. They are at a high water mark, The Democrats are at a historic LOW watermark and Romney LEADS decisively we are to believe that O’Bumbler will generate MORE enthusiasm than the last electrion cycle, Please.
Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the states that will decide the election: Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Colorado have no photo ID requirements. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin do, but we're still underdogs in both those states for other reasons. And it's not clear that Pennsylvania's requirement will even be in effect, thanks to a court challenge.
Even if black enthusiasm drops -- and I'm with you that I think it will -- you're forgetting that there are simply more Hispanic voters than there were four years ago.