In the Hugh Hewitt show he had a guest come on and explain that pollsters are only getting a fraction of responses that they did in 2008. In particular, Pew had a 9% response rate. I googled 2008 response rates and the first pollster that came up had a 38% response rate. That’s only 1/4th of the total.
Take a look here: http://www.hughhewitt.com/blog
Yep, that makes sense. I suspect the pollsters are going to be scrambling after this election year to come up with new polling methodologies. Either all the standard political calculations about economics, unemployment, approval ratings etc no longer impact on elections or the pro Obama polling is completely wacked. One way or the other this election is going to teach us a lot about America’s soul.