Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

All Tied Up In Nevada 46 to 46 — Glen Bolger, Public Opinion Strategies (D-41/R-36/I-26)
Battleground Watch ^

Posted on 09/25/2012 12:14:35 PM PDT by Perdogg

Glen Bolger is a partisan pollster for Republican candidates. His reputation for accuracy, however, is well-documented. He was among a scant few who thought Harry Reid would win the 2010 Senate race when everyone else was writing his obituary. Here are his results showing the race tied 46 to 46 in Nevada.

And the cross tabs with Party ID of D +5 (Dem 41, Rep 36, Ind 22). In 2008 party ID was D +8 (Dem 38, Rep 30, Ind 32) and in 2004 party ID was R +4 (Dem 35, Rep 39, Ind 26).

(Excerpt) Read more at battlegroundwatch.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; nv2012
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-25 next last

1 posted on 09/25/2012 12:14:40 PM PDT by Perdogg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: LS; GOP_Raider; MNJohnnie; SoFloFreeper; Ravi

ping


2 posted on 09/25/2012 12:16:01 PM PDT by Perdogg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Oh I would love to see the look on Dingy Harry’s face if Romney wins Nevada..it would be PRICELESS..No wonder Reid is going after Romney for his Mormon faith maybe he has those internal polls which show that Romney can win Nevada


3 posted on 09/25/2012 12:18:45 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sarah Barracuda

If Romney can win somewhere like Nevada, Obama can kiss his ass goodbye. If he grabs Nevada, Wisconsin will also go his way.


4 posted on 09/25/2012 12:23:53 PM PDT by Viennacon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Viennacon

I never believed the BS poll about Obama being up 12 in Wisconsin. If Obama is up THAT much in Wisconsin NO WAY would he waste his time campaigning there. Maybe if he were up between 3-6 points I could see it happening since he wants to make sure his base is energized, but up 12 points and he’s still campaigning there, absolutely no way in hell is that poll true. Do I think Obama is leading in Wisconsin, maybe by a few points but no way by 12..and if Romney wins Nevada than its adios Obama


5 posted on 09/25/2012 12:27:06 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

This seems about right.


6 posted on 09/25/2012 12:41:59 PM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

You only need to look at the states where R and O are campaigning in to see what their internal polls are telling them. Romney and Ryan with 2 stops today and 3 stops in Ohio tomorrow. Ryan will be in Colorado with two stops tomorrow. Nevada and Iowa up soon. Even though you don’t have to win Ohio to win the election, you wonder if they think their odds are better there than Virginia.


7 posted on 09/25/2012 12:42:35 PM PDT by NoobRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sarah Barracuda

Yeah the ads here from Obama in WI are pretty much non-stop...Romney’s definitely way up too. I’m more curious that Ryan hasn’t been here much at all at events.

Hoping that they are doing a lot better than anyone thinks!


8 posted on 09/25/2012 12:44:48 PM PDT by MNlurker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Washoe county (swing county) voter registration as of 9/20:

Rep: 88659
Dem: 85732

Washoe county registration totals from October 2008 (close of registration):

Rep: 90910
Dem: 92188


9 posted on 09/25/2012 12:46:47 PM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNlurker

Right now Romney/Ryan are in Ohio but I think eventually they will go to Wisconsin..if Obama were up that much in Wisconsin he wouldn’t even bother campaigning there. I am seeing non stop Obama ads here in Southern California, yeah go figure that out because I still cant


10 posted on 09/25/2012 12:51:00 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg
That is great news indeed... However I think that winning Nevada is more difficult than winning Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. My reason for this is based on a prediction model that I created for the battleground states... Based on this model it would take 19% of Obama "White Voters" from 2008 switching and voting for Romney combined with 3% of Obama total voters from 2008 staying home in 2012 for Romney to win Nevada... Is it possible? Sure it is, but it is not going to be that easy... So let us make it possible...
11 posted on 09/25/2012 12:55:18 PM PDT by Conservative12345
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

1) Not good that the Dems closed about a 6,000 vote difference, but

2) a 1000 vote difference out of 180,000 isn’t bad.


12 posted on 09/25/2012 2:08:57 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: LS

I think you are reading that wrong. As of 9/20 the Pubbies are ahead of the Demoncrats.


13 posted on 09/25/2012 3:05:55 PM PDT by sonrise57 (Help us God for evil men have surrounded us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: sonrise57; LS

I think u read that backwards.


14 posted on 09/25/2012 3:24:22 PM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: sonrise57; LS

I think u read that backwards.


15 posted on 09/25/2012 3:27:37 PM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Doh. After staring at these damn voter stats and percentages all day, I’m punchy!


16 posted on 09/25/2012 4:16:25 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: sonrise57

Doh. This is how punchy I am after staring at these numbers all day. I’m thinking October 2012!!!!


17 posted on 09/25/2012 4:17:37 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Isn’t Clark the big county with LV in it?


18 posted on 09/25/2012 4:18:11 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: MNlurker

Has Romney started running ads yet?


19 posted on 09/25/2012 5:39:42 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas

I am going to be in Las Vegas the third week of October. I will be looking to see if Romney is winning Nevada.


20 posted on 09/25/2012 5:55:46 PM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-25 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson