Party Affiliation (Gallup)
R: 27
I: 36
D: 35
With Independent “Leaners”
R: 42
D: 51
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
Right after the DNC, so not reasonable. The August one is more reasonable. I do think the Dems have an advantage, probably +1-+3 max.