Swing State Daily Tracking: 50% Approve of Obama’s Job Performance

rasmussenreports.com ^ | Sept. 24, 2012 | Scott Rasmussen

[Free ThinkerNY]

In the 11 swing states, the president earns 46% of the vote, and Mitt Romney is supported by 44%. Three percent (3%) are not sure, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

After modest post-convention bounces for both candidates, the race is back to where it was at the beginning of the month.

When “leaners” are factored in, Obama receives 48% of the vote to Romney's 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

Both candidates earn 84% support from Swing State voters in their respective parties. Romney leads by six, 43% to 37%, among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Nationally, the race remains a toss-up in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 50%. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove. These figures include 29% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

[Williams]

Well let’s say Obama opens a big lead in Michigan, that would skew the overall “swing state” number.

[Sarah Barracuda]

There really is no cure for stupid. Our economy is a disaster, Obama thinks the deaths of four Americans is just a “bump in the road” and that Iran is just “noise” yet these buffoons STILL think Obama is doing a good job..unbelievable..no wonder our country is going down the road of Greece

[IslandLad]

What was President Bush’s approval rating in 2004? Of course, he was running against Kerry, lol.

[secret garden]

I’m tossing out a question to everyone here. Who cares what polling predicts? They only get a 9% response rate. In what other area would anyone give a single thought to a survey with a 9% response rate? It’s ridiculous to give this nonsense any credence.

[MNJohnnie]

Bush’s approval/disapproval number in Nov 2008 was 53-44

[MNJohnnie]

Bush’s approval/disapproval number in Nov 2004 was 53-44

Sorry Nov 2004, not Nov 2008

[HenryArmitage]

In some swing states dems are considerably larger of the registered population. I couldn't find a gov site with numbers, but ohio for instance you can look at this old blog for some graphs about how they break down by party in 2008. some ohio blog

[Cherokeesquaw]

The article says: Three percent (3%) are not sure, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Can someone tell me the difference but “not sure” and “undecided”?

[IslandLad]

Thanks. I had seen something saying that it was at 48 percent right before the election.

[snarkytart]

The media buries all bad news for Obama. CBO released information that way more people will be getting taxed thanks to Obamacare than originally thought and all the media could do that day was focus on some tape of Romney talking about how too many Americans are dependent on the Gov’ment.
How many Americans do you think know about the fact they’ll be getting taxed more than they know thanks to Obamacare vs know what Romney said about 47%? One is meaningless the other will affect their lives.

Maybe Mitt should run ads during Honey Boo Boo so the soft and lazy minds will actually know wtf is happening in this country and to them.

[Cherokeesquaw]

Three percent (3%) are not sure, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Can someone tell me the difference but “not sure” and “undecided”?

[MNJohnnie]

I think this is going to be a repeat of 2004.

It is going to be a very tight race.

Ignore everything and vote. Get as many people as you can to vote. There is a lot of physiological warfare going on on both sides. Ignore it. The 2000 election was decided by fewer then a few thousand votes.

Voting matters and there is a large well funded effort going on right now to suppress conservative turn out.

[jersey117]

They must have interviewed people who have a job. All I can say to them is.... good luck holding on to it in obama’s second term. May they be the first to go for their utter stupidity.

[Williams]

Thank you. Interestingly enough, Ohio has a lot of Independents, and Rasmussen has Romney leading those.

But back to the notion Ohio has more democrats, then it would not seem to be much of a “swing state” and more of a blue state.

[Ravenstar]

This is not today’s Rassmussen Poll. It is 47% O 46% Romney and when leaners are figured in for Monday September 24th, 2012 they are tied at 48% each.

Ravenstar

[MNJohnnie]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states

Use the above instead. Any analysis of party strength in Ohion from 2008 is so far out of date as to be useless

[GlockThe Vote]

You should see my facebook page. We are finished as a country w 50% of the morons in this country.

[Ravenstar]

What would be the difference between “undecided” and “not sure”? Should one of them be they prefer “some other candidate’?

Ravenstar

[drypowder]

Wasn't Scott Rassmusen one of the political poling persons that Holder threatened with a law suit for publishing pole numbers unbecoming of the obozo?

[rigelkentaurus]

so by doing some simple algebra, Rasmussen is saying:

R = 21.3%
D = 28.7%
I = 50.0%

as far as I’m concerned, Rasmussen is no more reliable than any of the other RAT propaganda push polls. There is no way, on the face of this earth, for this election that RATS are +7% vs Repubs and Indies are 50% of the voters. Not credible in this lifetime or any other.