Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: SeekAndFind

My thinking is they are on the right track, but it would be nearly unprecedented for their model this time to be correct. That said, the polls mostly use 2008 results and aren’t realistic, which is what the site is trying to correct. I would guess maybe GOP +1 (as Gallup shows) or slightly Dem, maybe Dem +2 max.


37 posted on 09/24/2012 12:20:16 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies ]


To: rwfromkansas
I don't see how this election is D+

2008 had people who don't vote, never voted, vote in spectacular numbers.

Every axiom of electoral polling states that people will revert to their usual voting behavior absent the motivation to continue. Every number to date says that motivation is not there: Amish are down in interest, Jooz are down in interest, maybe the Sandra Slutz contingent holds steady, while the married middle class is mad and motivated for Mittens.

40 posted on 09/24/2012 6:42:25 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, IA = 272EV)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson