Because they are cooking the state polls too. Polls that don’t use the 2008 turnout models show Romney ahead in FL, VA, NC, OH and CO, which is enough to win.
Hi Hugin,
I was looking at the Rasmussen site and I thought that he accounted for the 2008 methodology vs the 2012 methodology (and showed the polls both ways). If I remember correctly, it still showed them tied or Barry slightly ahead (still not a good sign for an incumbent at this stage).
I was also thinking - they should be looking at the 2010 methodology - I think that election sent a clear picture of America’s dioscontent with the POTUS.