No disrespect to you, but why bother with a poll of “registered” voters?....this close to the election..only polls of “likely” voters are worth anything..
I was sure Romney would lose a point today, as a reaction to the “47%” video. Consider me pleasantly suprised.
Romney will win by 5% points nationwide. Obama is a disaster and is gaining NO new voters. He is bleeding voters.
How any journalist or commentator can still say with a straight face that Obama is “running away” with the election is beyond me. Liberalism is a mental disorder.
When the inconsequential 47% tape garners 80% of the air time of CNN and the others, I'm surprised Romney's doing as well as he is.
Whew. This is good news.
I would note that over the past nine Presidential elections, incumbents have garnered almost exactly the same percentage of the popular vote as they have in the mid-September Gallup poll. Should that trend continue, Obama would earn a bit less than 48%.
It’s getting close to election time, so the polls are gradually shifting over to the real honest, sampling techniques to preserve their credibility so that they will be hired in the next election cycle.
It’s standard practice - use polling to advance their candidate and demoralize opponents early on, then gradually shift over to actual polling in the last week or too to reflect the actual vote that will occur.
Examples are plentiful - the failure to predict the 1980 Reagan win, the 1994 Republican Congress takeover, and the 2010 Republican Tea Party resurgence. Every poll was reflecting a “too-close-to-call” outlook, and yet the elections became landslides.
Their defense is always “the undecideds broke at the last moment”. Nonsense! Does anyone really think that there were all these undecided voters up to the last hours before the election? Do you know anyone who went into the last week of the election saying “I don’t know who I’m voting for”?
From now to election day, the big polls like Gallup will all be saying it’s neck and neck. I don’t know who will win, but I will guarantee you that it will not be a close election. More like 52-48.
So, when you adjust for what “Likely voters” would be, the race is more realistically 49%-47% or 49%-46% for Romney.
Even though this is 7 days wouldn’t Romeny’s 47% video start to show by now