>>”Romney is worse than McCain”
> I disagree. Gratis asseritur, gratis negatur.
The test will come in November. McCain lost by 7.5% in the middle of the greatest financial meltdown in 70 years. Romney is running as a challenger in much more favorable conditions for him. If he can keep it within, say 3%, I will take my words back.
And to give a summary of this thread - Fere libenter homines id quod volunt credunt.
I like to look at the numbers behind the numbers. Right now the polls are using turnout models in the D+9 to D+13 range, when the historic 2008 election generated a D+7 turnout.
So the question I have for you is this: what justification exists to support the notion that there will be a Dem turnout advantage 2-6 points higher than in 2008? Or is that not a valid measure to use here (and if so, why not?)?