This thread does not show anything like that - It just shows the spin from the guy whose job is to spin numbers, not to look at them.
The polls averages were correct in 2008, correct in all the Senate races in 2010 (if anything, they were a little too optimistic for the GOP), and they are likely correct now.
Yep, and they were correct in 1980, 1984, 1994 etc., right? The undecideds will break hard for Romney towards the close of the campaign.
Of course, today isn’t Election Day. What do you gather from the polls as they are right now and what do you think they will be reporting near Election Day?
The media polls are polling 5-11 points higher then current party registration and 4 points over 2008 Democrat turn out
You REALLY think Obama is going to turn out more voters in 2012 then he did in 2008?
The Media pollsters are basing their samples on that assumption.
What he's saying is that numbers can be spinned, and in fact are spinned, for any number of reasons. Thus you should take every poll with a grain of salt and consider the totality of the poll (e.g., who's publishing it, when is it being published, what's the methodology behind it, etc., etc.) when you consider poll results at all.
Also, he's talking about polls meant to be released for public consumption, not necessarily a candidate's internal polls, which one would assume to be the most highly accurate of all. So another thing you have to consider as a news consumer is that internal polls are telling each campaign what story they need to feed to the public.
Your opinion. And I wouldn’t bet on it.
That is not reflected in current polling.