You seem to be the proverbial Cult of One, at least so far on this thread.
I look at the numbers, instead of wishing them away. And concluding from that I like Obama is a big leap - in fact I detest him. But he is going to get his 2nd term, barring some miracle in the remaining six weeks.
In 2008 most Freepers were trying to put the spin on the polls, and in the end the RCP poll average was right on the money.