Japan can’t go to war with China, their constitution forbids rearming.
Unless Japanese Neoconservatives manage to amend the Constitution to allow rearming, then any hypothetical war with China will be short.
“Japan cant go to war with China, their constitution forbids rearming.”
Then it would be a wise choice on Japans part to give those disputed islands....
1) The Japanese have been "re-armed" for decades. The fiction that they haven't (and that has been accepted by the naive and the gullible, and those just not paying attention) is maintaned by the facade of them calling their forces "Self-Defense Forces."
2) The Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force is arguably the second most powerful Navy in the World.
3)In a naval war the likelyhood that the Japanese would not only defeat China, but humiliate them (and completely without US assistance), is quite high.
Japan imports 90% of its oil. I’m sure any strategic reserves would be hit first and they would be hard pressed to continue air/sea operations for more than a couple of weeks. They would be easily blockaded and defeated without our intervention.