Meanwhile, Obama is forced to spend money in states he won in 2008 - Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Indiana and North Carolina. Romney's people are putting those in their win column and moving on.
The media is desperately trying to keep this a "horse race" in the eyes of voters. That is why they are oversampling Democrats by as much as D+10 when even in 2008, the actual turnout was D+7.
Any reliable pollster will tell you that any poll that oversamples Democrats D+2 or more is garbage. In fact, we are likely to see something more like R+2 this go-around which would mean that if all the polls we are seeing were sampled this way, Romney would be up 5-8 points in just about all of them. And considering that undecideds historically break at least 2-1 in favor of the challenger, you get to your 6-10 point Romney lead.
And that, is the state of the race today.