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To: Longbow1969; smoothsailing

Longbow

Since you want to so believe the polls, explain to us how different polls like this one and Rassumussen can have both Romney and Obama winning by 4-5 points on the same day?


24 posted on 09/13/2012 4:18:46 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

Johnnie look, the polls are pretty accurate. Just get over it. It is what it is. We get this disputing polls stuff before virtually every election, and in the end the polls turn out to be quite accurate. The RCP average was nearly dead on the last 2 presidential election cycles (within 1 point). Even on the Walker recall, the RCP Average was within .1%.

Every other poll included in the RCP Average has Obama ahead. Rasmussen has Romney 1 ahead. I go with the full RCP average, Obama up 3.3% currently, because it’s proven itself to be highly accurate and helps flatten out outliers.

I remember people refusing to believe the polls when they showed O’Donnell was going to get crushed by about 17 points. We were treated with endless posts about how the polls were wrong. O’Donnell lost by 17 points. Remember 2008? The polls showed Obama was going to win by around 7 or 8 points and we had countless posts here claiming the polls were wrong? Yeah, Obama won by 7.3%. The list goes on and on. The polls are fairly accurate, especially if you use the RCP average to flatten out the outliers.


29 posted on 09/13/2012 4:32:16 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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