When Carter Reagan ran at this point in the race Carter was seven points ahead of Reagan,hazardous for liberals indeed.
I think Romney will win, and I think he’s already ahead now, but please stop invoking Reagan/Carter: you are forgetting 21% at this point said they would vote for a third party candidate, John Anderson. Reagan drew away almost all of his support-—Anderson finished with 6%. Reagan got the balance. No such person in this race.