If Netanyahu (sorry about spelling) strikes first how would that effect the election?
Current thinking is that Netenyahu has been presented with 2 choices:
1) Strike now before the election, and presume that Barry would be forced kicking and screaming to back him up, knowing he could not appear to look weak in the final stages of a campaign, nor lose the Jewish vote in Florida and with it the Electoral College.
2) Wait and hope Americans are smart enough to elect Romney, who has already committed to stand by Israel.
Reports are that Netenyahu does not have enough confidence in our electorate for Option #2, and he knows that if Barry gets a second term he’s totally scroooood.
I think it would completely gut Obama. Seems like it's completely a lose-lose situation for him.
Casualties will be high. Attacks on the USA could follow. Huge increases in the cost of oil could follow. No matter what the outcome in terms of winners or losers, it'll be war on his watch.
If he supports Israel, he loses a huge sector of his base. He can't support Iran so what's the alternative. There isn't on that will gain him any support with anyone that matters.