RCP Poll: Virginia Poll: R 49%, 0 44%

RCP ^ | 9-11-12

[Arthurio]

On the days of September 8th and 9th, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research company, and Capitol Correspondent conducted a survey of 2,238 likely voters in the state of Virginia. The survey covered the same questions as the August survey, which comprised questions regarding the presidential election, Virginia’s senate race, the direction of the United States, and the effect of a libertarian candidate on Romney and Obama. Overall, from August to the most recent survey, Obama’s 44% to 40% lead has turned into a Romney lead of 49% to 44% in the most recent poll. Interestingly, Obama didn’t lose votes, rather Romney gained previously unsure voters or voters that previously planned on voting for a different candidate.

Who is Ahead in the Senate?

[devolve]

MY NAME IS ROSE WENDBERG

I AM A DEMOCRAT RUNNING FOR CONGRESS!

I*ll be voting for Obama in Maryland!

I*ll be voting for Obama in Florida!

I*ll be voting for Obama in the other 55 states!

[MNJohnnie]

If you give the traditional blue states to O and the traditional red state to R you see that R could lose OH and but win CO and WI and still win

[103198]

I haven't seen it - but I don't pay too much attention to the WaPo. The real problem was his campaign manager last time around. He was from Colorado and running a pre-presidential senate race and really p!ssed of the WaPo instead of working the macaca issue out (left nasty phone messages, etc.). With him gone, Allen's name, and a good integrated ground force with the R&R and Congressional campaigns, Allen is doing okay this time.

Personally he was my fourth choice, but he is far better than Timmy.

[MNJohnnie]

CO and WI look to be Romney pick ups. I have written off NH and I split ME and NE based on Congressional districts. You come up with a Romney win even if he loses Ohio

You can create your own map here

http://www.270towin.com/

[devolve]

-

I believe Wexler did not live in Florida - he gave his parent*s condo address there -

He actually lived in a DC Beltway state

I wonder if he paid any state income tax where he lived?

Incidentally -

Wacky Wexler is running for Congress

- Again!

-

[MNJohnnie]

Total projection from you Obama bots.

You scream in delight when the polls say what you want to hear. When we point out the facts that challenge your emotion based opinions, you scream about us “being in denial” Then when the polls don’t validate your emotion based political positions, you accuse the pollsters of fudging the data.

The one constant here is you ABR posters cling to your emotion based opinions and ignore all fact that do not validate you preconceived opinions

So don’t accuse everyone else of doing what you are doing.

[Psalm 144]

Same here. Far fewer Obama signs, and many of them are old. Not many Romney signs either. Fewer than than McCain had. Almost all the Republican signs came down when Palin publicly declined to run this cycle, even the faded ‘W’ signs.

[erod]

Oh noes Obama had it in the bag!?/sarc

[Ingtar]

I had already credited Ryan with Wisconsin. Colorado is where I have not seen signs of a move back from the brink. The polls there have been consistently in Obama’s favor, though they are now rather old. Iowa is a place where Romney/Ryan seem to be moving in the right direction. Virginia is looking better now. Below is a link to a map where Romney “sweeps” the states he has a good chance in according to the polls. It leaves NM, CO, and NV deciding this. I would love to hear your reasons why the map is incorrect (today). I suspect it will move a lot one way or the other in the next weeks. After all, the second convention always sees a bounce. McCain was up at this point about as much as Obama is being shown as up.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=xUQ

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

Anger: "Just STFU and get with the damn program, you miserable, wretched, ungrateful conservatives! You're lucky Mitt even allows the scurvy likes of you to vote for him in the first place!"

Total projection from ::rant::splutter::SNIP.

Exhibit "A."

[MNJohnnie]

Yep, it is. Notice your repose was wholly emotional. “I know you are but what am I” So as usual, you project your failing onto everyone else around you.

[Zeppelin]

Here you go, play with the scenarios yourself. (pretty cool site)

http://www.270towin.com/

[MNJohnnie]

That the ticket Kent. You just keep projecting your emotion based responses onto everyone else. It will make it so much funnier when reality smacks you in the face like it always does.

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

Notice your repose was wholly emotional.

Nope. You're making the exact same mistake for which you got corrected yesterday: cool and calm as the proverbial cuke, over this way. (The only one spluttering and foot-stamping hereabouts, plainly, is you, son.)

I'm in a state of acceptance: calm and serene. Anything you're imagining you hear instead is (thankfully) wholly your own problem, and none of my own.

Cope.

[Marathoner]

Speaking of polls, does anyone know whatever happened to the freeper (I think he went by Dales) who used to periodically analyze the polls and prepared his own analysis? The guy really knew his stuff.

[StAnDeliver]

Monster sample and LV. Multiple paths to victory with and without Ohio...

• 2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NE1, IA = 272EV

• 2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, NE1, WI, IA = 273EV

• 2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV, NE1, WI, IA = 270EV

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

You just keep projecting your emotion based responses onto everyone else. It will make it so much funnier when reality smacks you in the face like it always does.

Exhibit "B."

Seriously, son. Go breathe into a paper bag, or something. This much red-faced dudgeon, maintained 24/7, can't possibly be good for you.

[arrogantsob]

Is there a breakdown M-W, D-R-I? Can’t read too much into this without those stats.

[Nervous Tick]

Oh, a wise guy... how’d you like a one-way ticket to the Grammar Camp? We’ll see how much you laugh, after the instructorSS break your last knuckle with a steel ruler, and your lungs are permanently scarred from breathing chalkboard dust.

Or eraseable marker fumes... I think the modern Grammar Camps are converting to whiteboards...

[LS]

Boom!

Now, couple that with Oregon SurveyUSA where (legit D/R splits) R is only down 4 (!!) and NJ (don't know the splits) R is only down 7, and I'd say Zero is in mucho trouble.

He has pulled out of NC. Now, how long before he cedes VA??