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Why Bush Is Toast
Slate ^ | Sept. 14, 2000 | William Saletan

Posted on 09/10/2012 5:20:39 PM PDT by profit_guy

"Since Labor Day, the media have released about 20 polls on the presidential race. Three show a dead heat, one shows George W. Bush leading by a single percentage point, and the rest show Al Gore leading by one to 10 points. In the latest polls, Gore leads by an average of five points. It's fashionable at this stage to caution that "anything can happen," that Bush is "retooling," and that the numbers can turn in Bush's favor just as easily as they turned against him. But they can't. The numbers are moving toward Gore because fundamental dynamics tilt the election in his favor. The only question has been how far those dynamics would carry him. Now that he has passed Bush, the race is over............A candidate who puts pride before prudence, refuses to learn from his mistakes, and is capable of living for days in an alternate political universe can only survive while he's ahead. Once he falls behind, there's no reason to think he's up to the task of correcting his course and regaining control of the race. Yes, Bush came back to beat John McCain in South Carolina. But in that case, Bush had a firewall of phone banks, military backers, and boundless financial superiority. The swing voters in that contest were conservative Republicans. Bush's little-known opponent was prone to fatally undisciplined anger and was vulnerable to ads full of previously unaired negative information. Against Gore, Bush has none of those crutches. Stick a fork in him. He's done."

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gwb2000
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1 posted on 09/10/2012 5:20:44 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Sept. 14, 2000, thanks profit_guy.


2 posted on 09/10/2012 5:23:11 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: profit_guy

Hah, thanks for this. Helps keep the present in perspective.


3 posted on 09/10/2012 5:29:07 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State)
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To: profit_guy
Good post!

Thanks for digging into the past.

4 posted on 09/10/2012 5:31:52 PM PDT by BfloGuy (Without economic freedom, no other form of freedom can have material meaning.)
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To: profit_guy

But Bush was running against a Massachusetts liberal. Like Obama is today. Bush and Obama both got lucky.


5 posted on 09/10/2012 5:32:11 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: profit_guy

Great post. Now, to taunt Democrats on Facebook with it. Thanks!


6 posted on 09/10/2012 5:32:32 PM PDT by Big Giant Head
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To: nickcarraway

Oops, this was from 2000. How was Kerry doing at this point in 2004?


7 posted on 09/10/2012 5:33:38 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Nope - 2000 Bush was running against VP Gore


8 posted on 09/10/2012 5:34:09 PM PDT by nomodem
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To: profit_guy

“The Democratic convention, on the other hand, blew 10 and 12 points off Bush’s numbers in those polls, putting Gore on top.

There’s no reason to think this trend will stop, much less reverse. Gore can gain votes just by reciting economic data and linking those data to his administration. All Bush can do is limit his losses by disputing those links.”


9 posted on 09/10/2012 5:34:17 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: nickcarraway

Bush was running against a TN liberal who could not win his OWN state!


10 posted on 09/10/2012 5:36:23 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: nomodem

I posted that I realized this was 2000. I don’t see 2000 is relevant to today’s election. Better would be to see what Kerry was doing at this time in 2000- a Massachusetts liberal running against an incumbent.


11 posted on 09/10/2012 5:38:32 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: profit_guy

These polls are also used as a prop for massive voter fraud. If the media and left leaning organizations posted accurate polls then they wouldn’t have a comfort margin in which to manufacture thousands of votes in places like Detroit, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, etc. We either have to take this election by huge margins or the fraud will steal it out from under our noses because the Obama team has turned fraud into an art form.


12 posted on 09/10/2012 5:46:41 PM PDT by onevoter
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To: profit_guy

Oh, NO! Bush is a goner! ..wait a minute....


13 posted on 09/10/2012 5:48:32 PM PDT by far sider
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To: nickcarraway

...the media released 20 polls in a two week period ranging from Bush +1 to Gore +10, and you don’t see the relevance??

...was it relevant when Carter was leading Reagan, and Dukakis was leading Bush Sr. - both by double digits??

.........do you see a pattern here???


14 posted on 09/10/2012 5:48:53 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Thanks for posting this!


15 posted on 09/10/2012 5:49:25 PM PDT by swpa_mom
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To: profit_guy

Bush’s fault!


16 posted on 09/10/2012 5:49:54 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong!)
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To: profit_guy

Have the media released 20 polls show Obama up as much as 10? Bush was not facing an incumbent.


17 posted on 09/10/2012 5:52:59 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Utmost Certainty

The bookshelf marked ‘History’ is empty at MSNBC studios lest they learn something.


18 posted on 09/10/2012 5:54:08 PM PDT by relictele
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To: profit_guy

Have the media released 20 polls show Obama up as much as 10? Bush was not facing an incumbent. Bush was not trying to alienate voters in a wave election in 1998. (which there wasn’t one)


19 posted on 09/10/2012 5:55:22 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: profit_guy

“Bush was running against a TN liberal who could not win his OWN state!”

Remember, it is an inconvenient truth that had Algore won his home state he would have been POTUS no matter how the “selection” process in Florida turned out.


20 posted on 09/10/2012 5:57:55 PM PDT by allblues
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