I still believe that McCain would have won the election had he opposed TARP rather than suspend his campaign so help push it through.
But then again, a McCain who opposed TARP wouldn’t be McCain.
Without Palin, I think it would have been a blowout. His most infamous line in the campaign was that we had nothing to fear about Obama getting elected. That, I believe, was only 2 or 3 weeks before the election. The Obama campaign should have paid him a consultant's fee after that line.
I hope Romney makes a sharp distinction between the two. The ads released this weekend are really very disappointing. I think you can sharply criticize Obama (smash mouth in other words) without stepping over the line to where the ad appears cheap and cheesy.
I hope Romney has better ads in the queue.