Their assumption misses one ace in the hole. One EMP over somewhere south and east of Isfahan. I am sure most of our naval assets are in some fashion capable of withstanding or quickly recovering from a low to medium grade EMP but I can guarantee you the Iranian civilian assets will not be. Utter chaos would ensue in Tehran, Isfahan, Shiraz and Meshad and it would soon be all over.
All this talk about EMP’s reminds me of the dreaded FAE, or Fuel-Air-Explosive. The device looked good in theory, and showed some promise in testing, but was never deployed because expected results were never guaranteed.
Trust me, I would love to see an EMP device used for the intended effect, but I wouldn’t put too much stock in it...
A real hoot would be one or two well placed EMP missiles that plunge Qom and Teheran into darkness, this is all you need in my opinion. Make Qom into an unlit zero-electric zero-electronics chaos, this will severely spook the Mullahs who run the show. These fat Mullah savages love modern comforts, modern transportation and modern communications. Take this away from Qom and you will undo the current rule by Mullahs