[InterceptPoint]

Even more disturbing if Obama is leading among likely voters with a R+4 sample. Ugh.

I don't think he is doing that but we could use an update from anyone who actually knows what Raz is currently using for his Turnout Model.

[Leto]

IIRC Ras is using a D+3 model other are higher.

the ARG poll yesterday showed Romney +3 with a +4D sample.

If the numbers are like 2010 (R&D 35% I30% and apply this to the polls it comes out Romney +6. Which is the same as the CU economic model predicts.