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They have full cell coverage in Mogadishu in the middle of battles. And they have full coverage across Afghanistan.

The govt can shut down some exchanges, but it will be spotty at best.

I'm going to have to agree with Lazamataz on this one, but for different reasons. Electricity, natural gas and other utilities feed urban areas from a significant distance. Most power plants are in rural areas.

Right Of Way (ROW) vulnerabilities cut both ways. A couple of towers down and a city is brought to it's knees. In a couple of days the batteries will die for distributed communications. Water service will also come to a halt.

Just something to think about and add to the gaming. What if the outlying areas are controlled and the power is shut off to the city? What if urban MUYs have to then run the gauntlet? 72 hours is all they would have.

I agree 100% about supply running both ways. I expect rural folks, fed up with paying for the “parasite” cities, to shoot power line insulators with high powered rifles, cutting them off. Or towers dynamited, etc. This has happened in Peru, notably, during the long Sendero wars. Transmission cables are very vulnerable, and their routes are well known. But the essay was already 5,600 words, and I had to cut of the escalation scenarios at a certain point, beyond which chaos kicks in and it’s pretty much a crash for the population no matter what. Cities will be unliveable. But will refugees be welcomed anywhere?